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Joined 11 months ago
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Cake day: December 22nd, 2023

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  • Which of those projects will be ready by the time China invades Taiwan in early 2025? And how will those factories absorb all the global orders for chips when they’re not ready?

    for one, there’s no guarantee. Trump should want to protect taiwan, as it’s a strategically convenient point of interest.

    You are agreeing with me. Fabs are hard. Our people are stupid.

    well sort of, your argument is “well its hard and difficult so why should we ever try” my argument is “doing literally anything at all is going to be a better move.”

    Their people are smart. If their people are tied up in a war and dying, and their fabs are destroyed, and our fabs are half built

    yeah idk i think they would probably move to the US. The place where they are most likely to be able to fabricate again.

    you are unironically concern trolling with this post.












  • Only the wealthy would hold on to their money, which they’re already doing.

    to be clear, “holding” on to money is innately going to be investing. Not only is holding onto significant piles of cash incredibly sketchy, it’s also really bad financial strategy, because you lose money over time, so you’re highly incentivized to invest the money you don’t actively need, into something that can do productive work for the market economy instead.

    If we’re talking corporate money, which is different, and not the type of money you mentioned, things work a bit differently, but generally the mechanism is roughly the same, with some tax benefits, and mechanisms to create productivity rather than provide it instead. There are some funny things you can do like stock buybacks, but those do have some market utility though.


  • one of the really big problems with deflation in a system like the one we currently have is that there is no way to set a “negative” interest rate, at least trivially. So if something spicy happens, and you spiral down to a really aggressive negative interest rate, everything explodes instantly.

    This is actually why we target a 2-3% interest rate, and in the times of financial struggle (globally) use it to create new money in order to stimulate an economy, which in turn raises inflation significantly, but beats another literal depression.

    The primary difference between the great depression is that covid was significantly worse, and that modern monetary policy is incredibly resilient compared to back then.

    you could theoretically have a system with deflation, but then the problem is that you have very little money moving through the market, and arguably you will move away from a currency based market, to a goods based market instead, which is quite literally a bad thing.




  • the size doesnt matter for aerodynamics, generally, but it matters for physics.

    Drag is a square or cube scaling, i forget which, so at higher speeds it increases disproportionately.

    A larger object has more air to move out of the way, which means more drag. It’s more capable of moving that air with it’s increased volume. But then you also start running into volume to surface area scaling issues. Elephants are really slow for a reason, and it’s the same reason small animals are comparatively fast.